According to the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Elsa is on the move quickly westward and is expected to impact Florida as early as next week. Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days and it is possible Elsa could turn into a Hurricane…
Here are the details:
* A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning areas on Friday.
*A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Guadeloupe, Grenada and its dependencies. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas on Friday.Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later today.
Interests in Florida should monitor updates to the forecast for this system, but it is too soon to determine what if any impacts could occur there next week given the uncertainty in the long-range forecast.
At 8 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located about 789 miles (1255 km) east-southeast of the Windward Islands. It’s moving toward the west near 25 mph (41 km/h). An even faster motion toward the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 to 36 hours.
On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.
Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches on Friday across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides.
The next complete advisory will be issued at 11 a.m. AST – www.hurricanes.gov
If you have a Disney World vacation planned for this weekend or early next week I would keep an eye on Elsa.
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