NOAA Predicts Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season for 2024


Planning a trip to Walt Disney World this year? Be sure to keep an eye on the weather forecasts! The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has updated its outlook for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, predicting an an 85% chance of above-normal activity.

Related: Walt Disney World Donating $100,000 to Hurricane Idalia Relief Efforts


NOAA’s 2024 Hurricane Season Outlook

NOAA’s updated outlook indicates a significantly active hurricane season ahead. The forecast details are as follows:

  • 17-25 Named Storms
  • 8-13 Hurricanes
  • 4-7 Major Hurricanes
  • Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) range of 150%-245% of the median

These numbers are considerably higher than the 1991-2020 seasonal averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. The increased activity is anticipated mainly during the peak months of August through October.

Understanding the Predictions

The Atlantic hurricane region encompasses the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico. The official hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th, with the peak months historically producing the most significant activity. NOAA’s forecast highlights the likelihood of encountering more frequent and intense storms compared to a typical season.

Related: Disney World Shares Hurricane Idalia Update, Offering 50% Off Hotel Stays for Evacuees and First Responders


Tips for Walt Disney World Travelers

For those planning a visit to Walt Disney World, it’s essential to stay weather-aware. Here are some tips to help you prepare:

  1. Monitor Weather Updates: Regularly check weather forecasts and updates from reliable sources such as NOAA and local news outlets. Being aware of any potential storms can help you make timely decisions.
  2. Consider Travel Insurance: Travel insurance can provide peace of mind, covering unexpected cancellations or delays due to severe weather. Make sure to choose a policy that includes coverage for hurricanes and related disruptions.
  3. Stay Flexible: Be prepared to adjust your travel dates or plans if a hurricane threat arises. Flexibility can help you avoid potential hazards and ensure a safer trip.
  4. Have a Plan: Familiarize yourself with Walt Disney World’s hurricane policies and procedures. Knowing what steps to take in case of an emergency can make a significant difference.
  5. Pack Accordingly: Bring along essentials such as rain gear, extra supplies, and important documents. Being prepared for inclement weather can make your trip more comfortable and stress-free.

With NOAA predicting an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2024, travelers to Walt Disney World should take extra precautions. Keeping an eye on the weather, considering travel insurance, and staying flexible are key steps to ensure a safe and enjoyable trip. As the season progresses, especially during the peak months, staying informed will help you navigate any challenges that may arise.

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Chris is a Pennsylvania native who escaped the cold and relocated to the Orlando area. Our resident Universal expert, Chris has been visiting the Universal Orlando Resort since the 1990s. Chris is a Universal and Walt Disney World Passholder, and can often be found exploring the parks taking in the sites (and finding new things to write about!).
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